Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 118.617454 134.948209 152.965912 174.362295 199.133404 226.974542 260.727582
2026-01-18 97.000918 118.755222 144.785660 178.399103 220.901292 273.178061 342.843240
2026-01-25 82.508423 106.344733 136.548796 177.966435 233.804974 307.212158 412.238538
2026-02-01 73.152775 98.277820 131.628504 179.669093 247.971836 342.918457 487.216261
2026-02-08 64.528057 89.730514 124.506849 176.723665 254.397432 367.673043 549.100557
2026-02-15 58.893680 84.473363 121.028140 178.028479 266.409815 401.150212 627.812633
2026-02-22 54.474286 80.360272 118.550178 180.198098 279.518750 437.323019 715.316250
2026-03-01 49.166410 74.309828 112.441706 175.882002 281.584984 455.776557 775.526242
2026-03-08 44.826999 69.285077 107.337563 172.451423 284.416785 475.398668 839.963958
2026-03-15 41.472410 65.473435 103.731946 170.980275 290.169942 500.361483 917.191527
2026-03-22 40.043545 64.617184 104.785573 177.394177 310.231638 552.867141 1053.940131
2026-03-29 38.588690 63.563633 105.366288 182.958398 329.268727 605.669524 1199.280391
2026-04-05 35.748421 60.143458 101.984537 181.811068 337.152609 641.173189 1321.730491
2026-04-12 33.943051 58.383908 101.391710 185.858806 355.824506 701.281041 1509.950139
2026-04-19 31.684094 55.587380 98.626966 185.396299 365.375686 744.033264 1667.683689
2026-04-26 29.962243 53.596585 97.124674 187.177581 379.691447 798.956298 1865.047741
2026-05-03 27.812656 50.608003 93.436181 184.095265 383.187940 830.418453 2011.127487
2026-05-10 26.391669 48.873959 91.992149 185.460675 396.558863 886.409659 2231.975654
2026-05-17 25.193697 47.462180 91.038276 187.731164 412.241511 950.295956 2488.166367
2026-05-24 23.405237 44.730237 87.170506 183.214540 411.507123 973.861768 2636.893753
2026-05-31 21.867734 42.379856 83.880256 179.624970 412.514231 1001.983637 2805.331769
2026-06-07 20.650591 40.587813 81.600778 178.085751 418.343747 1043.580863 3024.291313
2026-06-14 20.243831 40.445104 82.814653 184.796908 445.852203 1147.909639 3466.544606